How to increase sales and productivity with stable shifts

Retail schedules can wreck havoc on employees' lives.

A few years ago, the New York Times published this heart-breaking story about a Starbucks barista whose work schedule made it a struggle to find a place to live, care for her young son, and go to school. She would often get her weekly schedule with just a few days notice, and her hours were wildly erratic. One schedule had her working until 11pm one evening and then reporting at 4am the next day.

Her story is sadly too common in retail and fast food industries.

Unpredictable schedules have a cascading effect. Employees struggle to escape poverty when they can't go to school or work a second job. Arranging childcare is a challenge when the parent works ever-changing hours. Showing up with a smile, or showing up at all, is a daily challenge.

This practice doesn't just harm employees. It hurts business. These ever-changing schedules often shrink profits in unseen ways.

This post highlights the results of a 2015 experiment that shows how more stable employee schedules are good for business. The lessons are incredibly relevant right now.

Two baristas working in a coffee shop.

About the Experiment

A group of academic researchers partnered with the Gap to study the effects of more stable scheduling on retail performance. The experiment tested a number of changes to employee scheduling:

  • Schedules were published two weeks in advance

  • Employees could swap shifts with each other

  • Shift start and end times were standardized

  • Part-time associates were given at least 20 hours per week

  • On-call shifts were eliminated

On-call shifts require an employee to be available to work, but the shift might be cancelled just a few hours before it begins. This can be an extra burden because you can’t make any other commitments, but you aren’t guaranteed to get paid.

Two results really stood out:

  • Sales increased 7 percent

  • Productivity increased 5 percent

You can read the full report, or keep reading below for a synopsis.

Why don't companies offer stable schedules?

Labor is one of the biggest expenses for most retailers. The chaotic work schedules are created by algorithms designed to operate stores with as few employees as possible in an effort to keep costs low.

The formulas typically use several variables to forecast each store's scheduling needs for the week. Common variables include:

  • Regular sales patterns

  • Planned promotions

  • Merchandising tasks (ex: setting up a new display)

  • Employee training

  • Receiving and stocking inventory

These algorithms place a premium on flexibility to control costs, allowing new shifts to be added or deleted on short notice. Decision-making is centralized, and store managers are often given little, if any, discretion to alter these schedules.

Unfortunately, these formulas inevitably allocate too few hours to stores.

How scheduling algorithms fail

There are a few different ways that scheduling algorithms cause stores to be short-staffed.

The estimates for various merchandising tasks are often inaccurate. One large retailer estimated the hours required to complete a new product display by timing how long it took employees to create a sample. The estimate was almost always too low because the sample was created in a corporate conference room, not on a busy retail floor with constant interruptions from customers.

Store managers aren’t add additional hours, so they’re forced to “borrow” staffing from other tasks. This typically comes at the expense of sales and customer service.

Some algorithms fail to account for overlapping needs.

Saturday morning was the busiest day of the week for one retail store. It was also the day when the weekly stock shipment arrived. The store lacked a back stock area to store new product, which meant new shipments had to be put on the sales floor immediately. The store manager wasn't given enough hours to handle the stock shipment and adequately serve customers, so sales ultimately suffered.

There many other hidden costs of a lean schedule:

  • Theft goes up with fewer associates on the sales floor.

  • Customers purchase less when they can’t get timely assistance.

  • Inventory is harder to manage.

Inventory can be really sneaky. Customers often move inventory around a store, such as leaving clothing in a fitting room or deciding against a purchase while at the cash register. The store can lose sales if employees aren't available to quickly re-shelve those items.

How to implement stable shifts

Retail businesses will always need flexibility to meet changes in demand. The secret is to start with a core schedule and flex up by adding more hours.

All employees, including part-time workers, are given a core schedule. These are predictable days and hours when they can be expected to work each week.

Flexibility is achieved by adding hours when needed. Part-time employees are often open to working more hours, and can be given additional shifts or asked to work longer. Full-time employees can occasionally be asked to work overtime when the store is really busy.


Why You Need to Evaluate Your Hours of Operation

A customer service leader recently told me about a demotivated employee on her small team.

He was the first person scheduled to work most days. By the time he got settled in at his desk and turned the phone system on, he would be crushed by an avalanche of calls.

The employee would regularly spend the first hour of his day struggling to keep up with the volume until other coworkers started to arrive. By then, call volumes typically diminished and his colleagues enjoyed a more relaxing start to their day.

The customer service leader recognized this employee was one of her best. She also sensed he was getting frustrated. What should she do?

The solution may seem obvious in hindsight. It was time for this leader to evaluate the hours of operation and her staffing levels throughout the day.

Here's why you might need to do it, too.

Sign hung outside a business that reads "Come In, We're Open."

The Impact of Operating Hours

There are two dimensions to operating hours and staffing.

  • The hours and days you are open for business

  • Your staffing levels at various times during the day

Both have a significant impact on service quality and profitability.

For example, the customer service leader I described earlier likely had customers who were frustrated by having to wait when they called first thing in the morning. Angry customers tend to take longer to serve, which lengthens the wait time for the next customer.

Over the long run, those customers might take their business somewhere else.

I suggested that she review her schedules and consider having more staff available at a slightly earlier time of day. She could shift a person or two to an earlier start time so her total hours would remain unchanged. This would help prevent her employee from feeling so burned out. It would likely also prevent customers from having to wait.

 

Case Study: Independent Retail Book Store

Hours of operation and staffing levels are critical decisions for small businesses. Let's look at an example for an independent retail book store.

According to Womply, a company that provides customer insight data to small businesses, the average independent retail bookstore does 5.5 percent of its total weekly business on Sunday.

Bookstore revenue by day of the week. Image source: Womply

Bookstore revenue by day of the week. Image source: Womply

The national average weekly revenue for this type of business is $4,334, so a 5.5 percent share means a typical Sunday clears $216.70 in sales.

Here are the big questions:

  • Is it worth it for this business to be open on Sundays?

  • If so, what hours should it be open?

  • And if it's open, how many employees should be available?

Let's tackle the first question.

According to multiple sources, including this one and this site, the average gross margin for a bookstore is 40 percent. This is the difference between the price the bookstore pays to acquire the books and the price the bookstore sells them for.

So 40 percent of $216.70 in revenue leaves just $86.68 in gross profit. That gross profit has to cover the wages of employees working in the store, along with fixed costs such as rent.

Here are a few rough calculations on the cost of employees for that Sunday:

  • $10.89 average wage (source: Bureau of Labor Statistics)

  • 16 hours (2 employees working 8 hours each)

  • $174.24 hourly cost of labor (16 x $10.89)

The $174.24 is actually low, because it doesn't include the "fully loaded" costs associated with paying employees, such as payroll taxes, insurance, etc. 

But the math alone on this is pretty clear. The store will lose $87.56 by being open on Sunday.

Let's look at the other two questions:

  • What hours should the store be open?

  • And if it's open, how many employees should be available?

There may be other times when it may be a good idea to be open longer hours or have more employees on staff.

Let's say the bookstore normally closes at 8pm on Saturdays. It happens to be located in a busy part of town with several restaurants that draw large crowds.

The store might benefit from staying open until 10pm on Saturday if it can make some sales to the after-dinner crowd.

Imagine the store does an experiment and finds a way to average $150 in additional sales from 8pm-10pm on Saturdays. At a 40 percent gross margin, that leaves $60 to pay employees and other expenses. So two employees working two additional hours at $10.89 each (2 x 2 x $10.89) would cost $43.56.

Having the right number of people on staff is also essential. Too many employees is a waste of money, but so is having too few.

Here are just a few ways that being short-staffed could hurt the bookstore's business:

  • Customers may walk out when the line is too long

  • A helpful salesperson could have suggested more sales

  • Inventory gets moved out of place and needs to be re-shelved

Making small adjustments to the hours of operation and staffing levels could mean the difference between the bookstore losing money or making a respectable profit.

 

Take Action

Your business may have software to help you track your volumes throughout each day. A few examples include:

  • Phone system

  • Email, chat, or other messaging volumes

  • Customer service ticketing software

  • Point of sale software

  • Business insight software like Womply

Start by pulling a historical record of the data for the past six months and compare it to your employee schedules.

Look for situations where you are either understaffed or overstaffed and try to determine where your schedule needs adjustment.

Don't be afraid to try small experiments where you extend or shorten hours of operation or add or subtract staffing levels at various times of the day. Whether you manage a contact center, run a small business, or oversee a large enterprise, having the right staffing level is critical.